Athletic vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.92
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
8.1%
5.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
DEP
3 - 2
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
SPO
1 - 2
ATH
32%
23%
45%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
ATH
4 - 2
VAD
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
VCF
3 - 1
ATH
60%
19%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
79%
12%
9%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1953 |
OVI
6 - 3
VAD
54%
21%
24%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
VCF
4 - 0
OVI
81%
12%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
OVI
1 - 0
ESP
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
RMA
3 - 2
OVI
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
OVI
2 - 0
SEV
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |