Athletic vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.8%
10%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
ESP
2 - 2
ATH
45%
22%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
ATH
5 - 2
ATM
70%
16%
14%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
CEL
4 - 1
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
ATH
4 - 0
CAS
81%
11%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
BET
3 - 1
ATH
29%
24%
47%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
OVI
4 - 1
VCF
44%
22%
35%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
OVI
3 - 1
ESP
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
ATM
3 - 0
OVI
69%
16%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
OVI
1 - 0
CEL
64%
17%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
CAS
3 - 0
OVI
40%
21%
39%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |