Athletic vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.9%
12.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
ESP
1 - 1
ATH
48%
21%
31%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
ATH
0 - 5
ATM
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
HER
1 - 0
ATH
35%
23%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ATH
0 - 0
ZAR
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
VCF
2 - 2
ATH
36%
22%
42%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
OVI
0 - 2
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
MUR
1 - 2
OVI
23%
21%
56%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
OVI
4 - 3
CEL
76%
13%
11%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
OVI
0 - 4
SEV
65%
17%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
ESP
5 - 0
OVI
58%
19%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |