Athletic vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
6.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
BET
1 - 3
ATH
31%
24%
45%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
ATH
6 - 2
VCF
83%
10%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
RAC
3 - 2
ATH
36%
23%
41%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
ATH
6 - 1
FCB
75%
13%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
RSO
3 - 0
ATH
41%
23%
37%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
OVI
3 - 1
RAC
44%
20%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1934 |
FCB
2 - 0
OVI
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1933 |
RSO
3 - 1
OVI
70%
16%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
OVI
3 - 2
RMA
46%
23%
32%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
ARE
1 - 1
OVI
64%
17%
19%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |