Athletic vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
PON
2 - 0
ATH
25%
25%
50%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
ATH
3 - 1
VCF
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
BET
1 - 1
ATH
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
ATH
5 - 2
ESP
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
CCF
2 - 0
ATH
34%
27%
39%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
MUR
1 - 0
OVI
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
LEV
3 - 0
MUR
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
MUR
3 - 1
SEV
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
FCB
4 - 1
MUR
88%
8%
4%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
MUR
2 - 0
ZAR
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |