Athletic vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
SAB
1 - 2
ATH
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
ATH
1 - 3
CAS
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1944 |
ATH
2 - 0
VCF
54%
20%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1944 |
ATH
3 - 2
ATM
67%
17%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 1944 |
ATH
2 - 0
ATM
65%
17%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
MUR
2 - 1
VCF
35%
22%
43%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
DEP
3 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1944 |
MUR
1 - 5
VCF
34%
22%
44%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1944 |
VCF
3 - 0
MUR
85%
10%
6%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1944 |
ESP
2 - 2
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |