Athletic vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
FCB
4 - 3
ATH
74%
14%
12%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
ATH
2 - 0
FCB
50%
21%
29%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
ATH
1 - 0
UDL
87%
9%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1958 |
UDL
0 - 4
ATH
29%
23%
48%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
CEL
0 - 1
ATH
35%
23%
42%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
RSO
1 - 1
RMA
20%
21%
59%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
RMA
4 - 1
RSO
92%
6%
2%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
VAD
0 - 2
RMA
21%
21%
58%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1958 |
RMA
5 - 1
VAD
91%
6%
3%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1958 |
RMA
3 - 2
ACM
85%
9%
6%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |