Athletic vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16%
14.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
SPO
0 - 2
ATH
34%
24%
42%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
ATH
5 - 1
MUR
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
SAB
1 - 2
ATH
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
ATH
1 - 3
CAS
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1944 |
ATH
2 - 0
VCF
54%
20%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1944 |
RMA
1 - 1
VCF
53%
20%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1944 |
DEP
2 - 2
RMA
38%
25%
37%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1944 |
RMA
3 - 0
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1944 |
OVI
4 - 0
RMA
60%
19%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
RMA
0 - 2
GRA
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |