Athletic vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
VCF
3 - 4
ATH
37%
23%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
HER
1 - 0
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 1
CEL
84%
10%
7%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 2
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
ATH
4 - 0
ESP
77%
13%
11%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
RMA
0 - 1
HER
80%
12%
8%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
0 - 0
RMA
39%
23%
38%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
RMA
5 - 1
ZAR
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
BET
0 - 4
RMA
28%
24%
48%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATM
78%
13%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |