Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Athletic vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15.2%
14.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
ATH
2 - 0
OSA
86%
9%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
RMA
2 - 2
ATH
61%
18%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
ATH
5 - 2
FCB
77%
13%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
RAC
2 - 1
ATH
45%
21%
34%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
ATH
4 - 1
SEV
84%
9%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
BET
1 - 1
RMA
36%
24%
41%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1936 |
RMA
2 - 2
ATH
61%
18%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1936 |
OSA
1 - 4
RMA
40%
22%
38%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1936 |
OVI
1 - 0
RMA
52%
20%
28%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1936 |
RMA
3 - 0
FCB
70%
15%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |