Athletic vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
14.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1934 |
RAC
6 - 0
ATH
37%
23%
40%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1934 |
ATH
4 - 0
SEV
85%
9%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATH
33%
23%
44%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1934 |
ESP
1 - 3
ATH
39%
23%
38%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
ATH
4 - 0
OVI
82%
10%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1934 |
RMA
7 - 2
ESP
68%
17%
15%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1934 |
OVI
0 - 3
RMA
48%
22%
30%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATM
72%
16%
12%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1934 |
RSO
1 - 2
RMA
45%
23%
32%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
RMA
0 - 1
BET
74%
16%
11%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |