Athletic vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
25%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
ATH
3 - 3
ATM
67%
17%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
FCB
3 - 0
ATH
72%
16%
13%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
ATH
2 - 1
RUN
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1929 |
EUR
1 - 1
ATH
13%
16%
71%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
ATH
2 - 3
ARE
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 0
ARE
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
RUN
0 - 2
RMA
42%
22%
36%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 0
ESP
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1929 |
ATM
0 - 3
RMA
43%
22%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
RMA
2 - 2
RAC
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |