Athletic vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
ATH
0 - 0
ALA
78%
13%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
RSG
1 - 3
ATH
21%
24%
55%
|
84 | 44 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
ATM
2 - 4
ATH
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1928 |
ATH
3 - 1
RAC
75%
14%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
RMA
3 - 2
ATH
55%
21%
24%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1928 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATM
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1928 |
RMA
3 - 2
RAC
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1928 |
RSG
2 - 2
RMA
19%
22%
59%
|
78 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1928 |
RMA
3 - 3
ALA
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1928 |
RMA
3 - 2
ATH
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |