Athletic vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1909 |
CSS
4 - 2
ATH
5%
16%
79%
|
82 | 17 | 65 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1906 |
ATH
2 - 1
REC
89%
8%
4%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1906 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATH
64%
19%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1905 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATH
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1903 |
ATH
3 - 2
RMA
37%
25%
39%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1908 |
RMA
2 - 1
RVS
94%
4%
1%
|
83 | 24 | 59 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
RMA
1 - 0
FCV
95%
4%
1%
|
83 | 19 | 64 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1907 |
RMA
5 - 0
HAM
95%
4%
1%
|
83 | 11 | 72 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1907 |
RMA
3 - 1
RVS
95%
4%
1%
|
83 | 24 | 59 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1907 |
FCV
3 - 2
RMA
5%
16%
80%
|
83 | 17 | 66 | 0 |