Athletic vs Real Madrid analysis


82	ELO	83
0.7%	Tilt	0%
20º	General ELO ranking	2º
4º	Country ELO ranking	1º
ELO win probability

36.6%

Athletic

24.5%

Draw

38.8%

Real Madrid

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

36.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%

24.5%

Draw

0-0

5.2%

1-1

11.4%

2-2

6.2%

3-3

1.5%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

24.5%

38.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%