Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Athletic vs Real Club Fortuna de Vigo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.5%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.1%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.3%
2.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1915 |
FDV
0 - 0
ATH
11%
19%
70%
|
82 | 10 | 72 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1914 |
ATH
2 - 1
FEB
92%
6%
2%
|
82 | 12 | 70 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1914 |
RVS
3 - 3
ATH
13%
20%
68%
|
82 | 23 | 59 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1914 |
ATH
11 - 0
RVS
91%
7%
2%
|
82 | 23 | 59 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1913 |
RIR
1 - 0
ATH
5%
15%
80%
|
82 | 13 | 69 | 0 |
Matches
Real Club Fortuna de Vigo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1915 |
FDV
0 - 0
ATH
11%
19%
70%
|
10 | 82 | 72 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1913 |
FEB
1 - 0
FDV
69%
17%
14%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1911 |
ATH
2 - 0
FDV
95%
4%
1%
|
10 | 81 | 71 | 0 |