Athletic vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1996 |
RSO
2 - 2
ATH
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ATH
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
ATH
2 - 2
ALB
54%
24%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
MER
1 - 0
ATH
35%
29%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
ATH
2 - 0
CDT
39%
26%
36%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1996 |
RAY
4 - 3
ZAR
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
MER
0 - 1
RAY
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
RAY
0 - 2
VAD
57%
24%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
DEP
1 - 0
RAY
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
RAY
1 - 3
CEL
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |