Athletic vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
OVI
1 - 0
ATH
52%
27%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
ATH
2 - 1
CAD
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATH
86%
10%
4%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
ATH
2 - 0
VAD
58%
25%
17%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
CAD
1 - 0
ATH
35%
31%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1992 |
RAY
2 - 1
LOG
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1992 |
VCF
1 - 0
RAY
77%
16%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
RAY
4 - 1
CAS
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
LLE
1 - 0
RAY
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
RAY
0 - 0
MAL
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |