Athletic vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1978 |
ATH
2 - 1
SEV
74%
16%
9%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
RSO
2 - 1
ATH
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
SLA
0 - 3
ATH
34%
29%
37%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
ATH
4 - 1
VCF
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
UDL
2 - 2
ATH
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
ATM
4 - 0
RAY
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
RAY
2 - 1
FCB
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
BET
1 - 0
RAY
68%
19%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
RAY
1 - 0
RSO
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
VCF
7 - 0
RAY
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |