Athletic vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.98
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
7.9%
5.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
CEL
4 - 1
ATH
47%
21%
32%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
ATH
1 - 1
RMA
70%
15%
15%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
ZAR
2 - 4
ATH
21%
22%
57%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
ATH
0 - 3
FCB
68%
16%
16%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
RAC
1 - 0
ESP
52%
20%
27%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
CAT
5 - 1
RAC
46%
22%
32%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
RAC
4 - 0
UDL
74%
14%
12%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
SEV
5 - 0
RAC
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1951 |
RAC
3 - 1
DEP
51%
22%
27%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |