Athletic vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
6%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.9%
8.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
BET
0 - 0
ATH
31%
23%
46%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
ATH
3 - 4
SEV
80%
11%
8%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
ATM
3 - 1
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATH
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ATH
1 - 2
VCF
83%
10%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
RAC
3 - 3
SEV
53%
20%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
RMA
3 - 2
RAC
79%
12%
9%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
RAC
0 - 1
HER
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
RAC
2 - 3
FCB
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
ZAR
3 - 0
RAC
45%
20%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |