Athletic vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
11%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11%
8.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATH
47%
22%
31%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
ATH
2 - 1
RSO
84%
10%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1934 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATH
46%
22%
32%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
ATH
9 - 0
ARE
84%
10%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
ESP
1 - 4
ATH
38%
23%
39%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
RAC
2 - 1
VCF
62%
18%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
RAC
3 - 1
FCB
49%
22%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1934 |
RSO
2 - 1
RAC
57%
19%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
RAC
4 - 3
RMA
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
ARE
2 - 1
RAC
46%
20%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |