Athletic vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
RUN
4 - 2
ATH
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
RAC
1 - 1
ATH
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
ATH
1 - 3
RUN
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1924 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATH
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1924 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATH
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1926 |
RAC
4 - 3
RUN
60%
20%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
RAC
1 - 1
ATH
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1926 |
RUN
2 - 1
RAC
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1925 |
RAC
1 - 1
ARE
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1925 |
RSO
4 - 0
RAC
62%
19%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |