Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-1
Athletic vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
RCF
1 - 1
ATH
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
ATH
7 - 1
CEL
64%
18%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
CEL
2 - 1
ATH
49%
22%
28%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1928 |
RAC
2 - 0
ATH
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
ATH
3 - 1
RMA
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1928 |
RCF
1 - 1
ATH
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 83 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1928 |
RCF
2 - 0
ALA
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 1928 |
ALA
1 - 1
RCF
77%
14%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |