Athletic vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ATH
1 - 0
MAL
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
GET
3 - 1
ATH
20%
24%
57%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
ATH
2 - 0
TRA
57%
22%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
BET
2 - 1
ATH
40%
26%
34%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
BRE
3 - 1
PAR
37%
26%
38%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
PAR
0 - 0
FIO
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAR
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
INT
2 - 2
PAR
60%
22%
19%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
PAR
1 - 2
BOL
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |