Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-1
Athletic vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
5.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
OSA
1 - 0
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ATH
2 - 3
ESP
80%
13%
8%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
OVI
2 - 0
ATH
29%
25%
46%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ELC
4 - 1
ATH
34%
24%
42%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ATH
1 - 2
MLL
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
OSA
1 - 0
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
OSA
4 - 2
DEP
70%
15%
14%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
SAB
0 - 1
OSA
39%
25%
37%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
OSA
3 - 0
SLA
87%
9%
4%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
BAS
0 - 2
OSA
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | +1 |