Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 4-2
Athletic vs OFK Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1964 |
CEL
1 - 0
ATH
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1964 |
ATH
1 - 1
CEL
84%
11%
6%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
ELC
1 - 2
ATH
56%
22%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ATH
4 - 0
VAD
72%
17%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
ATH
0 - 1
OVI
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1963 |
JUV
1 - 0
BEO
77%
14%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1963 |
BEO
2 - 1
JUV
35%
23%
42%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1963 |
JUV
2 - 1
BEO
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1963 |
TOT
3 - 1
BEO
87%
8%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1963 |
BEO
1 - 2
TOT
29%
22%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |