Athletic vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
DEP
3 - 1
ATH
46%
27%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ATH
2 - 0
OSA
50%
27%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
REC
2 - 1
ATH
43%
27%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MLL
3 - 3
ATH
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ATH
1 - 4
VIL
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
NUM
1 - 1
ATM
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
ESP
3 - 4
NUM
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 0
NUM
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
NUM
2 - 4
BET
33%
29%
39%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SPO
3 - 1
NUM
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |