Athletic vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
4.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.3%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.2%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.4%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.8%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.7%
6.3%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.3%
3.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1956 |
ATH
2 - 1
ATM
88%
8%
5%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1956 |
ATH
3 - 2
RMA
68%
16%
16%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
RMA
2 - 2
ATH
66%
17%
17%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
OSA
2 - 2
ATH
35%
22%
43%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
ATH
4 - 1
OSA
89%
8%
4%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1956 |
SED
1 - 0
NIC
55%
20%
25%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1956 |
ASN
2 - 0
NIC
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1956 |
GIR
1 - 2
NIC
51%
21%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
NIC
1 - 0
MET
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
LEN
4 - 0
NIC
46%
22%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |