Europa League Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Athletic vs RWD Molenbeek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
CEL
0 - 0
ATH
31%
30%
39%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1977 |
MOL
1 - 1
ATH
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
ATH
2 - 1
VCF
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATH
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1977 |
FCB
2 - 2
ATH
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
RWD Molenbeek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
MOL
6 - 0
KFC
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
CER
1 - 0
MOL
33%
26%
40%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1977 |
MOL
1 - 1
ATH
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
MOL
4 - 2
LIE
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
KSK
2 - 0
MOL
27%
28%
45%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |