Athletic vs Mallorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
RMA
2 - 0
ATH
75%
17%
8%
|
93 | 100 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 0
ALA
70%
19%
11%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 2
ATH
21%
26%
53%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 0
FCB
24%
23%
52%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 0
ATM
29%
25%
46%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VCF
0 - 0
MLL
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
MLL
1 - 0
GRA
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
MLL
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 96 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MLL
1 - 0
GIR
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 1
MLL
65%
21%
13%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |