Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-3
Athletic vs Mallorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ATH
0 - 1
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
GIM
2 - 3
ATH
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ATH
1 - 3
FCB
21%
25%
55%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
GET
0 - 0
ATH
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ATH
1 - 4
ATM
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MLL
0 - 0
RSO
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
LEV
0 - 1
MLL
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MLL
1 - 2
VIL
39%
27%
33%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
MLL
1 - 0
ESP
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ZAR
2 - 0
MLL
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |