Europa League 1/32
Global 2-1
Athletic vs Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
ATH
1 - 1
RSO
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
BET
0 - 0
ATH
52%
26%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
SPO
2 - 0
ATH
50%
27%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1986 |
ATH
2 - 2
RSO
67%
21%
13%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
MAG
2 - 1
BWA
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
FCU
2 - 1
MAG
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
MAG
3 - 1
BSG
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
SGD
2 - 2
MAG
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
MAG
1 - 1
ERF
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |