Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 3-3
Athletic vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
ZAR
0 - 2
ATH
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
ATH
0 - 0
FCB
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
FCB
3 - 1
ATH
74%
15%
10%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
UDL
2 - 0
ATH
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
ATH
6 - 0
UDL
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
IPS
0 - 2
LIV
41%
28%
31%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
LIV
2 - 0
QPR
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1968 |
LEE
1 - 0
LIV
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1968 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
53%
26%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
LIV
4 - 1
SUN
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |