Athletic vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
7.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
CAS
4 - 0
ATH
25%
22%
53%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
ATH
2 - 0
OVI
77%
13%
10%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
SEV
2 - 1
ATH
56%
20%
24%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
ATH
0 - 0
DEP
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
HER
2 - 2
GRA
58%
21%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
RSO
2 - 1
HER
46%
21%
32%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
HER
1 - 3
VCF
29%
23%
48%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
RMA
2 - 1
HER
81%
12%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
HER
1 - 3
CEL
43%
21%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |