Athletic vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
FCB
2 - 1
ATH
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
SEV
0 - 0
ATH
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
ATH
1 - 0
SLA
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
ATH
0 - 0
ELC
67%
20%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
SPO
1 - 1
ATH
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 0
SLA
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
ELC
0 - 0
GRA
49%
28%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 1
SPO
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
GRA
0 - 0
ZAR
51%
25%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
RMA
4 - 1
GRA
82%
12%
6%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |