Athletic vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
SEV
3 - 0
ATH
55%
20%
25%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
ATH
3 - 1
DEP
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
FCB
3 - 3
ATH
61%
19%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1943 |
ATH
1 - 0
RMA
70%
15%
15%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1943 |
VCF
2 - 2
ATH
59%
19%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
GRA
2 - 2
RMA
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1943 |
SAB
2 - 0
GRA
37%
24%
39%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1943 |
GRA
5 - 2
OVI
49%
21%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
GRA
3 - 0
SDC
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1943 |
SDC
5 - 0
GRA
35%
23%
43%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -2 |