Athletic vs Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 1
OSA
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
RMA
2 - 1
ATH
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
GNK
2 - 0
ATH
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ATH
3 - 2
RSO
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
SES
0 - 4
ATH
10%
24%
66%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | +1 |
Matches
Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GNK
2 - 1
KVC
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
GNK
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GNK
1 - 0
STR
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
GNK
2 - 0
ATH
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MOU
2 - 2
GNK
21%
26%
54%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |