Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 4-2
Athletic vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1967 |
ELC
1 - 0
ATH
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1967 |
FRE
0 - 1
ATH
30%
26%
45%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1967 |
ATH
3 - 0
CCF
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1967 |
VCF
2 - 1
ATH
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1967 |
ATH
2 - 0
CCF
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1967 |
FRE
0 - 1
ATH
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |