Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Athletic vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
ATH
0 - 1
UDL
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
ATH
1 - 2
ESP
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
FTC
2 - 1
ATH
55%
23%
23%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1968 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ATH
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
ATH
1 - 1
RSO
76%
15%
8%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
FTC
2 - 1
ATH
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1968 |
LIV
0 - 1
FTC
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1967 |
FTC
1 - 0
LIV
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1967 |
FTC
3 - 0
ZAR
46%
23%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1967 |
ZAR
2 - 1
FTC
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |