Athletic vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1974 |
UDL
2 - 0
ATH
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
ATH
3 - 0
ATM
40%
29%
31%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
SLA
0 - 0
ATH
40%
32%
28%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
ATH
2 - 2
HER
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
VCF
3 - 0
ATH
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1974 |
ESP
2 - 1
ZAR
57%
25%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
RMA
5 - 0
ESP
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
ESP
2 - 1
MUR
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
ELC
2 - 4
ESP
35%
32%
34%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
ESP
1 - 0
GRA
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |