Athletic vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
ATM
1 - 1
ATH
59%
19%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
ATH
2 - 2
SEV
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
SPO
1 - 2
ATH
39%
23%
38%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
ATH
1 - 3
RSO
82%
10%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
CEL
5 - 1
ATH
48%
21%
30%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1947 |
ESP
1 - 3
VCF
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
ESP
2 - 3
SAB
66%
18%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
ATM
5 - 2
ESP
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
ESP
0 - 1
SEV
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
SPO
1 - 1
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |