Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Athletic vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
10.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1945 |
ESP
0 - 0
ATH
44%
22%
34%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1945 |
ATH
0 - 0
ATM
71%
15%
13%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
ATH
4 - 1
GRA
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
FCB
5 - 2
ATH
61%
19%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
ATH
0 - 1
ATM
71%
15%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1945 |
ESP
0 - 0
ATH
44%
22%
34%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1945 |
ESP
2 - 1
OVI
56%
20%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1945 |
ESP
1 - 0
MUR
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1945 |
SAB
0 - 6
ESP
38%
23%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
ESP
5 - 1
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |