Athletic vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.4%
8.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
OVI
3 - 2
ATH
44%
22%
34%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
ATM
2 - 2
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1935 |
ATH
7 - 0
RSO
84%
10%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
BET
1 - 0
ATH
31%
24%
45%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1935 |
ATH
8 - 0
ARE
84%
10%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1935 |
ESP
1 - 2
VCF
62%
18%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
OVI
8 - 3
ESP
56%
19%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1935 |
ESP
0 - 2
ATM
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
RSO
1 - 4
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1935 |
ESP
1 - 1
BET
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |