Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Athletic vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
3.83
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.1%
6.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
ATH
8 - 1
DEP
90%
7%
4%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
DEP
2 - 4
ATH
24%
21%
56%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1933 |
ATH
5 - 1
SEV
90%
6%
3%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATH
22%
21%
58%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
ATH
5 - 1
ARE
86%
9%
6%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
MUR
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1933 |
MUR
5 - 3
ESP
35%
22%
43%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1933 |
ESP
4 - 0
ZAR
63%
18%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1933 |
ZAR
3 - 1
ESP
51%
21%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
ESP
3 - 0
GIJ
85%
10%
6%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |