Athletic vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1929 |
RSO
1 - 1
ATH
53%
22%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1929 |
ATH
1 - 4
RMA
59%
20%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1929 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATH
59%
20%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
ATH
2 - 1
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1929 |
CAS
2 - 2
ATH
29%
25%
47%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1929 |
ESP
3 - 2
RUN
70%
16%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1929 |
ESP
2 - 1
RMA
55%
20%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1929 |
FCB
1 - 1
ESP
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1929 |
ESP
2 - 0
FCB
44%
22%
34%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1929 |
ATM
2 - 4
ESP
47%
22%
31%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |