Athletic vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1915 |
ATH
5 - 1
FDV
92%
6%
2%
|
82 | 11 | 71 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1915 |
FDV
0 - 0
ATH
11%
19%
70%
|
82 | 10 | 72 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1914 |
ATH
2 - 1
FEB
92%
6%
2%
|
82 | 12 | 70 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1914 |
RVS
3 - 3
ATH
13%
20%
68%
|
82 | 23 | 59 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1914 |
ATH
11 - 0
RVS
91%
7%
2%
|
82 | 23 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1915 |
ESP
3 - 0
SGE
92%
6%
2%
|
78 | 8 | 70 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1915 |
SGE
2 - 3
ESP
11%
19%
70%
|
78 | 8 | 70 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
ATH
3 - 1
ESP
63%
19%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1911 |
ESP
6 - 0
AIT
95%
4%
1%
|
78 | 8 | 70 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1903 |
ATH
4 - 0
ESP
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |