Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 5-2
Athletic vs Eldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
7%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
7.2%
3.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
ELD
0 - 3
ATH
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
SPO
0 - 2
ATH
26%
24%
50%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ATH
4 - 1
RMA
43%
23%
34%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
ESP
2 - 1
ATH
36%
25%
40%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
UDL
1 - 0
ATH
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Eldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
ELD
0 - 3
ATH
27%
23%
50%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
PUL
2 - 0
ELD
62%
19%
19%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
ELD
5 - 1
RJA
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
EXT
5 - 0
ELD
64%
19%
18%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
ELD
1 - 1
LEV
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |