Athletic vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
RAC
1 - 0
ATH
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
ATH
1 - 0
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
CAD
2 - 1
ATH
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ATH
1 - 1
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
ATM
0 - 1
ATH
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
ELC
1 - 2
SPO
46%
26%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
BUR
1 - 0
ELC
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
ELC
3 - 1
RMA
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ESP
3 - 1
ELC
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
ELC
1 - 2
SEV
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |