Athletic vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
VAD
1 - 1
ATH
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
OVI
2 - 1
ATH
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
ATH
0 - 0
LEV
76%
15%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATH
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
ATH
2 - 0
FCB
38%
24%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
ELC
2 - 1
OVI
69%
17%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
LEV
0 - 1
ELC
41%
23%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
ELC
2 - 1
SEV
62%
19%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1963 |
FCB
3 - 0
ELC
79%
13%
9%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
ELC
1 - 0
ZAR
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |